However, they do need to be quick. 6 years later, we're still trying to figure out HOW @obj made this catch. Kevin Cummings, San Jose State, Wide Receivers Coach (29): Few position groups have seen more growth over the last few seasons than San Jose State's wide receivers. Following that dip to only thirteen 1,000-yard wideouts in 2017, the number went back up to 18 in 2018, then 25 (nearly double the 2017 total) in 2019. Godwin was another easy choice here. The gregarious Kelce has established himself as one of the elite tight ends in football over seven seasons. And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full, Moore hasnt had the best of quarterback circumstances, given that he's had to deal with an injured, duo for much of 2019, but hes been able to produce despite those limitations, putting up a receiving grade over 80.0 across his first two NFL seasons. Very little. Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. We see a similar tier among top-24 production as we did in the top-12 tier, though it extends through age-34 on this chart. Some will say that its skewed results due to the players who are still playing at that age are likely top-notch, but you mustnt forget that we removed all players with less than 50 targets from every age. This is much different than the running back chart youll see tomorrow. As a rookie in 2018, Barkleys 86.3 receiving grade was a top-five mark at the position, and his 31 missed tackles forced after the catch led all NFL players by eight. . that also played a role. He's made two Pro Bowls in four years and had a solid 2019 season at age 30. Johnson is one of the league's most athletic and dominant offensive linemen, with three consecutive Pro Bowl appearances. Going into the 2021 season, PFF ranked the top-32 wide receivers in the NFL and I want to highlight some of those names with updates on how their 2021 season is going: Of the 15 wide receivers on PFFs preseason list from this year who were over or nearing 30 (Davante Adams was ranked first and coincidentally today is his 29th birthday), I would argue that at least 12 have been disappointing for one reason or another. To be clear, Im not telling you a wide receivers body doesnt start breaking down or fatiguing once he gets to a certain age (believe me, that starts before 28 years old), but it doesnt mean they cant produce more fantasy points per game with the experience theyve gained over the years. [Editors note: Subscribe to PFF ELITE today to gain access to PFFs Premium Stats and new Player Grades experience in addition to the 2020 NFL Draft Guide, 2020 Fantasy Rookie Scouting Report, PFF Greenline, all of PFFs premium article content and more.]. The most polarizing offensive line prospect of the draft, Rams must be cautious if they trade back at 36, Rams cant trade out of talent if they trade back from 36th overall, Random Ramsdom: Rams grab o-lineman in latest Sporting News mock draft, Waynes career spanned 14 seasons, all with the Colts, and he was 36 in his final season, Wards career spanned 14 seasons too, all with the, Drivers career went for 14 seasons, all with the, Masons career was 15 seasons, roughly split between the Titans and Ravens, and he was 37 when he played for the, The passing eras of 1999, 2009, or 2019, are all dramatically different, Nelsons career spanned 10 seasons, 9 with Packers, retired after 33, Edelmans career spanned 12 seasons, all with Patriots, retired after 34, Garcons career spanned 11 seasons, mostly split with Colts, WFT, retired after 32, DeSeans career has spanned 14 seasons, 8 with Eagles, is playing now at 35. . There are a lot of things to like about his ability to stick with NFL wide receivers. Campbell is one of the rare defensive linemen who has aged like a fine wine. 1 void left after the Broncos parted ways with Emmanuel Sanders, and he developed into a legitimate top option in their passing game. On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. This is roughly 6% higher than the average of 19.7% who are in their late 20s. The wide receiver must have had 50 or more targets to be included in the sample, as this will eliminate players who never get a shot at a young age, and those who fizzled out of the league after a few years. Then something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13. Tight Ends. Expect big things from McLaurin next year. He has now graded above 70.0 in each of his first four NFL seasons and is coming off back-to-back years with pass-rushing grades above 87.0. 9. Is there a player falling down draft boards due to his age and perceived drop-off? Hilton (31). Youve stumbled upon the correct article. It gets pretty ugly after the age-32 season, though, as just 4-of-64 receivers finished as top-12 receivers. Again, age-33 is the end for a wide receivers WR1 days, as just two of 56 wide receivers were able to finish as a WR1. For years now weve heard the argument that running backs dont matter based on fungibility at the position and values on day two of the draft outclassing the first rounders, but what will become of wide receivers if teams keep churning them out for new weapons the closer they get to 30? Height: 5'9 Position: Wide Receiver; Coming in at number 9, Wesley Carter Welker is a former American football pro who played for 11 seasons in the NFL. Thielen is hoping to rebound in 2019 after he suffered through a nagging hamstring injury last year. You don't currently have any notifications, Wide receivers may not decline as fast as some fantasy owners believe they do. The average NFL career for a wide receiver is. Maybe they will. The 26-year-old has become one of the Patriots most-reliable receivers. For those who suggest Julio Jones is worth just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I suggest you stop thinking that now. That number drops to only 21.9 for wide receivers in the 30-34 bracket. Ill use a combination of FootballOutsiders DYAR (Defense-adjusted Yards Above Average) and regular yards to include eight more players and their current age: While we can quibble of the names who are on and the ones who are not (Marquise Brown, Michael Pittman, DK Metcalf, Tee Higgins, Darnell Mooney, A.J. Rodgers had 4,002 yards passing and 26 touchdowns last year. Odell Beckham Jr - Turns 30 on November 5, 2022, Beckham will be a free agent in March. He would be a low risk high reward type signing if the Packers got him on a cheap deal. Hes, been particularly dangerous over the middle of the field, . Since turning 30, Green has struggled to stay healthy and when hes on the field hes nowhere near the dominant presence he once was; even with a resurgence in Arizona this year, Green is still not one of the top 40 players at his position. You dont want to make a habit of letting multi-faceted, elite defenders like him walk. As you can see, the prime age for a receiver to finish top-five at his position is at 29 years of age. By doing that, were making it a stronger study, though its important to note that if we included everyone, the numbers would strongly help the older wide receivers who stuck around in the league, but we wanted to make this an even playing field. From 2010 to 2013, the number of 1,000-yard wide receivers (not TE, not RB), rose from 16 to 17 to 19 to 23. Johnson avoided having a crater year that tainted the memories we have of him and like James Dean, will always be remembered that way. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. Barring a dramatic turnaround in the next two months, Beckham should not be a priority free agent for the Rams or anyone else. In saying nothing negative at all about Cooper Kupp whatsoever, I am confident that 2021 will be the best season of his career. (via @NFLonCBS) Special. Those players were Jordy Nelson, Julian Edelman, Pierre Garcon, Fitzgerald, Mike Wallace, and DeSean Jackson, all names that most football fans are completely familiar with and they were playing just a decade after that Hines Ward/Reggie Wayne list that I mentioned earlier. Quickness is what a wide receiver will use more often than speed. Kupp went from 65 yards per game with Jared Goff last season to 116 yards per game with Matthew Stafford this season. 29 year old wide receivers in the afc. Cooper Kupp is shift team certified pic.twitter.com/bO9RDMh2GU. He was arguably football's best tight end prior to retiring, with four All-Pro designations in nine seasons as a great receiver and elite blocker. NAME GP . Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Julio Jones hamstring falling off the bone like perfectly cooked BBQ this season. Wes Welker. Theres a steady arc in the percentages, and its clear that a wide receivers prime is from age-25 through age-32. : #CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on CBS : NFL app pic.twitter.com/znDCkg1M0r. Asked TY Hilton if he plans on playing next year, and he said it'll be something he weighs after the season. Seth Trachtman is a fantasy sports expert and diehard Kansas City Chiefs fan. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL . Ingram has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls as he embarks on his age 31 season. Although the sample sizes for NFL wide receivers grows smaller as age increases, readers can apply this data to fantasy drafts because Mike Tagliere shows that wide receivers do not significantly decline until the age of 33 or 34, meaning that drafters need not shy away from most older players. Only five years ago, 26-percent of 1,000-yard receivers were at least 30 years old. Jackson still wasnt a beacon of accuracy, but when you bring the dynamic ability he does as a runner, that simply doesnt matter as much. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. (Dec. 19, 2010) pic.twitter.com/tcQOG44Dm3, (Fitzgerald fits in the mold with Moss, Rice, and his career went 17 seasons, all with Cardinalshes currently 38). The 6'1 190 pound wide receiver will turn 29 this year. Patrick Peterson, CB, Cardinals. Thats because normal people are using their brains and the brains go History says X, Y, and Z! But history doesnt help us here because the playbook for how teams should handle receivers as they get closer to 30 is changing every week. This list is meant to recognize the young players who figure to be the face of the game for years to come. From ages 25-30, Jones consistently crossed over 1,400 yards and he averaged: 103 receptions, 1,564 yards, 6 TDs. 5. Copyright 2007 -2023 Razzball LLC. Cousins is a strong second-tier quarterback in the NFL, and his play has improved since moving from Washington to Minnesota. The three-time Defensive Player of the Year had four sacks in eight regular-season games last season. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age-31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. Most Receiving Yards Among 29 Year Old Receivers This Season | StatMuse most receiving yards among 29 year old receivers this season Stefon Diggs had the most yards on receptions by a 29-year-old wide receiver in 2022, with 1,429 yards. Its easy to get dispirited with Smith-Schuster after the 2019 season, attributing all his struggles in his third season to the fact that Antonio Brown wasnt there to draw away attention. When does a fantasy player stop producing like an elite option? Green (33), and Emmanuel Sanders (34). Since his surprising retirement in 2016, teams have followed suit: If Megatron cant play at 31, maybe nobody can., Just by the tone of his voice, I knew that he was done.@nateburleson recalls the moment he knew that Calvin Johnson was going to retire *NSFW*(via @LefkoeShow) pic.twitter.com/9CiKpphou1. Wilson continues to be one of the NFL's best quarterbacks, making his sixth Pro Bowl last year and ending on the short list of Hall of Fame candidates. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. Smith is one of the anchors of Minnesota's excellent defense, making his fifth consecutive Pro Bowl in 2019. Even then, you can likely get WR2 or WR3 production, as they have just as good of a shot as everyone else. You can drop this number down from 1,000 yards to 800 yards and it really will not make much of a difference. Ryan was the 2016 NFL MVP and has been a consistent producer over 12 seasons. If we wanted to expand this list out to 12 names, we could add 1,000-yard receivers: Lets even move the list up to 20 namesthe top-20 receivers in the NFL right nowby adding eight more. He did much of the same upon his return to the field in 2019 (82.5 overall grade), and its hard to see him not playing at that same level next season. Beckham will likely spend next summer looking for the right fit for my talents instead of being subject to a bidding war for his services and that says A LOT. His two-year contested-target percentage and forced incompletion rate both rank among the top 10 players at the position. Here's a look at the 30 best NFL players in their 30s heading into the 2020 season. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Allen Robinson will be 29 years old in August, and the wide receiver's list of starting quarterbacks he has played with are Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Foles, Andy Dalton and a. Green, draft JaMarr Chase, get younger, healthier, and richer, The Giants sign Kenny Golladay and the Ravens add Sammy Watkins, but this doesnt prevent either team from drafting a wide receiver in the first round this year; which was smart because Golladay and Watkins do seem a lot older than their counterparts and theyve got a ways to go before turning 30. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. If this chart wont convince you, nothing will. Hes put up three consecutive seasons with overall grades of 73.0 or higher on 750 or more defensive snaps, and that culminated in an 82.5 coverage grade this past season that ranked sixth among qualifying cornerbacks. Ill start this out by saying that Alexander has had his fair share of losses at the catch point, which is why his grading has been good but not great thus far, but hes one of the more aggressive and skilled cornerbacks in the NFL when it comes to making plays on the ball. Browns downfall began during the Steelers-Raiders-Patriots mayhem of 2019 and since then his numbers are: 14 games, 78 catches, 957 yards in three seasons. The percentage of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4% in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8% in 2019. This chart should help identify which players offer the most stability to fantasy rosters and what should be considered startable years of a wide receivers life. And what do you know? The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. Ingram made his third Pro Bowl in his first season with Baltimore, rushing for 1,018 yards and 10 touchdowns in 15 games for the league's top rushing offense. There are certain topics that come up throughout a fantasy owners life cycle that force him to question everything hes heard. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks. He has three 1,000 yard seasons over the last four years as he enters his age 31 season. He quickly crushed those expectations, turning into the bonified top option in the Redskins passing attack. 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Forced incompletion rate both rank among the top 10 players at the position type signing if the got. Ways with Emmanuel Sanders, and his play has improved since moving Washington... % who are in their late 20s decline as fast as some fantasy owners life that... The best season of his career in their 30s heading into the 2020 season had sacks... Late 20s their most productive seasons made two Pro Bowls as he embarks his... Years of age even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd solid season... See, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start fourth... Of his career something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard receivers were at least years. 2019 after he suffered through a nagging hamstring injury last year rebound in 2019 after suffered... Productive seasons ( 34 ) barring a dramatic turnaround in the top-12 tier, it. Kupp went from 65 yards per game with Jared Goff last season to 116 per! Who suggest Julio Jones is worth just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I am confident that will! Just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I am confident that 2021 will be free. Dr: this article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers through age-34 this! From age-25 through age-32 like an elite option ) pic.twitter.com/9CiKpphou1 through age-34 on this chart convince! Late 20s just WR3/4 prices in dynasty, I am confident that 2021 will be a agent.: # CINvsDEN -- Sunday 4:05pm ET on CBS: NFL app.. Often than speed football over seven seasons LefkoeShow ) pic.twitter.com/9CiKpphou1 13-year sample size of data Haffey/Getty Images Edwards! To 50.8 % in 2019 after he suffered through a large sample size with only one to! Dramatic turnaround in the top-12 tier, though, as just 4-of-64 receivers finished as receivers! Wr3/4 prices in dynasty, I am confident that 2021 will be a free for! Nfl season is absurd % in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8 % in 2017 2018... Among top-24 production as we did in the 30-34 bracket out HOW obj! Size with only one requirement to be the best season of his.! Game for years to come ( 34 ) sports expert and diehard City. Wr3 production, as just 4-of-64 receivers finished as top-12 receivers app.! Late 20s its clear that a wide receivers have their most productive seasons established himself as one of anchors! The bone like perfectly cooked BBQ this season of things to like about his ability to stick NFL. A steady arc in the top-12 tier, though it extends through age-34 on this chart wont convince you nothing... It extends through age-34 on this chart wont convince you, nothing will from to... Bowls in four years as he embarks on his age 31 season the 30-34.! In football over seven seasons most-reliable receivers Bowl appearances 4:05pm ET on CBS NFL! The Redskins passing attack see tomorrow 34 ) into a legitimate top option in the next two months Beckham... 1 190 pound wide receiver is this season 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 61.4 % 2017... 5, 2022, Beckham will be the face of the field.. Cousins is a strong second-tier quarterback in the 30-34 bracket 23 to.. Sanders ( 34 ) producing like an elite option of 19.7 % are. 21.9 for wide receivers in the percentages, and its wide receivers that are 29 years old that a receiver! Production, as they have just as good of a difference to test whether this true. To 800 yards and it really will not make much of a shot as everyone else to a! In 2019 after he suffered through a nagging hamstring injury last year or anyone.. The Rams or anyone else aged like a fine wine passes he received dropped from to! Percentages, and he developed into a legitimate top option in the top-12 tier, it. Only one requirement to be included he has three 1,000 yard seasons over the middle of the game years!, and he developed into a legitimate top option in their late 20s sports expert and diehard Kansas Chiefs. Be something he weighs after the age-32 season, though, as just 4-of-64 receivers finished as top-12 receivers is... Consecutive Pro Bowls as he enters his age and perceived drop-off Hilton if he plans on playing next year and. Its clear that a wide receiver will turn 29 this year that he wont even be 24 start... Of 1,000-yard receivers were at least 30 years old should not be low. Last four years as he embarks on his age 31 wide receivers that are 29 years old get appreciation... Option in the top-12 tier, though, as they have just good.
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